Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on july 29, 2010
/IRBIS, July 29, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz (Almaty,
REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments in
Kazakhstan and the world markets on July 29, 2010.
JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- U.S. and European indexes finished the day lower. Reducing the
total orders for durable goods in the U.S. and record Fed "Beige
Book" became the main reasons that caused a record profit. Data on
orders for durable goods were issued one hour before the opening of
the American sites, and occurred on June decline by 0.2%, instead of
the expected growth of 1.2% was the reason for a negative
conclusion of trading in Europe and a weak opening sites in the U.S..
Report of the Fed, traditionally published in two hours before the
closure of the U.S. trading session, this time was painted a
moderately negative tone - well, according to a report in the U.S.
economy stagnates, in particular, on the face of declining sales of
cars, the overall decline in the production and the stagnation of the
real estate market. Much of the decline of American sites had just the
afternoon, so after Beige Book, indexes, hold it near floating grades
have declined on average by half a percentage point.
- platforms of emerging markets again finished the day different
directions. Brazil's Bovespa, the Indian BSE and the Russian RTS
added on the day 0.4% 0.3% and 0.9% respectively, China Shanghai
Comp fell by half a percentage point. Because of the factor time
zones, areas of emerging economies have not played yesterday,
negative, caused by the publication of weak macroeconomic reports
and report the Fed, and probably will address this now.
- Wednesday proved to be quite busy at the event day for a barrel
of oil - after not too successful attempts to increase at the beginning
of the day, took reduction of quotations by more than half a percent,
but closed the day held at approximately the level of discovery. Thus,
the previous day did not introduce certainty regarding the future
prospects of oil prices - the level at $ 77 and was not traversed in any
one or the other way.
- indistinct get the day and an ounce of gold - to change the quote
on the day of 0,4% is not significant, but analysts of "REAL Invest.kz"
highlight the fact that the quotes are still below the lower boundary of
the recent local price range.
- completely unproductive can be called the previous day for the
two major currency pairs EUR/USD and GBP/USD, which
throughout the trading session were in the lateral range, without
having to make significant effort to overcome the current levels that
may be associated with a fairly negative dynamics observed in the
stock sites are not allowed the euro and British pound continue
upward momentum of recent days. If the assumption is "REAL
Invest.kz" probably should expect growth of quotations called
currency pairs, in the event of a return of optimism on the stock and
commodity platforms.
Analysts JSC "Finance Company" REAL Invest.kz" also notes the
following major developments in the Kazakh market:
- The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the current year
in Kazakhstan, the economic growth at 4.1%. However, the
situation in the economy and especially in the banking sector remains
difficult. This is evidenced by a press release circulated by the IMF on
a regular annual review of the Kazakh economy based on the 4th
article of the Charter of the Fund.
- JSC Exploration Production KazMunaiGas including shares in
the companies' Kazgermunai (MAG), CCEL and PetroKazakhstan
Inc. (CRP) in the first six months of 2010 has extracted 6,283
tones of oil (257 thousand barrels per day ), which is 610 thousand
tons, or 11% more than during the same period in 2009, the company
said. According to the report, the increase in production due, mainly,
by the proportion in the production of PetroKazakhstan, this
amounted to 733 thousand tons. Analysts of REAL Invest.kz believe
that the news was quite expected by the market and will not affect the
share prices of KMG EP.
- judicial decisions with the Kazakh oil company
Karazhanbasmunai, 50% owned by KMG, the state revenue
assessed additional customs duty on crude oil and fines totaling
KZT5.2 billion. The company is accused of violating the customs
clearance and collection of customs duties on imports and exports of
petroleum and petroleum products. Analysts of REAL Invest.kz do not
expect a negative impact on share prices KMG.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, ie cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-07-29]