Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on September 9, 2010
/IRBIS, September 9, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on September 9, 2010.
JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- Bidding on the main market of USA and Europe once again resulted
in a moderate growth. Successful placement of government bonds of
Portugal, as well as statements by leading U.S. economists that, despite
the apparent slowdown in global economic recovery, prospects for the
beginning of the "second wave" of recession is still very small - the factors
that supported the Western codes. The economic slowdown of U.S. noted
Fed. officials too, however, given that the statements of Mr. Bernanke
were quite restrained, the outcome of the publication "Beige Book" market
participants rated as moderately positive. Today in the U.S. are data from
the labor market and changes in trade balance, which, of course, will
come under scrutiny of market participants.
- codes of emerging markets have completed the past trading day for
the most part on the negative territory, adding a bit of market
capitalization, only the Indian BSE, though we note that a decrease in the
indices were quite modest, and given the traditionally high volatility of the
regional indices with the final result at the level of -0.1 pp - Actually more
than modest. Today's ambient background for sites emerging markets
analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" regard as moderately positive - as a
supporting factor can make the dynamics of commodity quotes, a
restraining influence on regional areas can have a lowering of growth
forecasts for the end of this year the U.S. economy.
- The cost of a barrel of oil added about $ 1, which is equivalent to 1.3
percentage points. During the session itself quotes "black gold" have
reached a mark of $ 75 per barrel, but a foothold above the important
psychological level still failed. From the perspective of technical analysis,
it is important to overcome the mark of $ 75, focus on a resistance level of
the last two weeks, but even when taking the turn, saying the resumption
of the uptrend will be soon.
- troy ounce of gold during the session reached a historic high levels
at around $ 1265, however, immediately after this quotation "precious
metal" overtook correction - the predicted "REAL Invest.kz" earlier version
of events, confirming the thesis that the anti- warrant "bears" were located
above the level of $ 1,270 per ounce. Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz"
believe that if the new attempts of traders to establish a new historic
maximum end up in nothing, quote "noble metal" is expecting a protracted
correction, which will be energized and more factors than a month of
continued non-stop growth in the value of gold, as well as improved mood
market participants caused by the publication of a number of positive
macroeconomic reports.
- failure, according to "REAL Invest.kz", ended the attempt of the
currency pair EUR/USD after two days of falls, go back to growth -
on the day the euro added to the cost of only 0.2 percentage points,
which can be viewed as a short-term correction in a downtrend. Given the
fact that even a positive factor in placing state. Bonds Portugal, also
suffers from excessive budget deficits, and thus being "at risk", failed to
inspire traders to buy, analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" are more likely to
expect in the short term, further declines in quotations of the currency
pair. Few other things are added to the British pound, stray from the
previous day's level of support to 1,535, and that probably allowed the
currency pair GBP/USD add up to the last session, the order of 0.7
percentage points, while growth in the middle of the day reach a level of
1.1 pp Concerning the future prospects of pounds in "REAL Invest.kz"
believe determines the level at around 1.55, after reaching which will
become clear further prospect couples.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-09-09]