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22.12.2011 18:16 #

REVIEW: KASE market of shares in November 2011

/IRBIS, December 22, 2011/ - In November 2011, on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on shares in all sectors 721 transactions were recorded totaling 1,827.4 million tenge or 12.4 million U.S. dollars at current exchange rates at the dates of transactions. The said amount is 7.5% of the monthly volume of transactions in the market of corporate securities of KASE (in October 2011 - 38.6%) and 0.1% of the total exchange monthly turnover (0.1%).

As a result of November 2011 at the KASE average daily prices of shares of 29% of titles have increased (in October - 31%), decreased - 54% of titles (38%), prices of 17% have not changed (31%). Maximum trends for the month showed the following tools: AMGZp grew by 60.0%, UTMK fell by 29.9%. In October 2011 the maximum trends were shown by KZTKp (+27.8%) and BTAS (-28.4%).

Below are tables describing the stock market of KASE in October, 2011.

Table 1. Statistical characteristics of KASE share market in November 2011

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                       Trend as of
                                                ------------------
Indicator                              Nov 2011 Oct 2011  Nov 2010
-------------------------------------- -------- -------- ---------
Trade volume, th. USD                  12,354.0   -26.0% 6.3 times
Trade volume, m. KZT                    1,827.4   -26.0% 6.2 times
Deals                                       721   -21.1%    -60.8%
Instruments in deals                         24   -11.1%     +4.3%
Daily average of deals                       33   -24.7%    -62.5%
Daily average volume of deals, th. USD    561.5   -29.3% 6.6 times
Daily average volume of deals, m. KZT      83.1   -29.3% 6.5 times
Stock of direct deals (number), %           0.7  +0.6 pp   +0.3 pp
Stock of direct deals (volume), %          22.0 +20.8 pp  +21.1 pp
Pension assets, % gross                     0.7  +0.7 pp   -7.5 pp
Individuals, % gross                       33.8  -4.1 pp   -7.0 pp
Non-residents, % gross                     32.1 +20.0 pp   +5.6 pp
KASE members, concluded deals                32    +6.7%    -15.8%
Market concentration, %                    24.2  +1.0 pp  -31.1 pp
------------------------------------------------------------------

* indicates the percentage of the total turnover of shares, which accounts for most traded securities (their number is 5% of the total number of titles of shares involved in the transaction).

Tab. 2. Industrial characteristics of KASE share market *

-----------------------------------------------------------------
                             Stake of total volume of market (%):
                             ------------ ----------- -----------
Industry                         Nov 2011    Oct 2011    Nov 2010
---------------------------- ------------ ----------- -----------
Power energy                         60.3        52.7        75.8
Discretional consumer sector
                                     15.6        20.0         6.8
Finance                              14.8        19.7        14.5
Raw material sector                   5.7         5.1         2.0
Telecommunications services
                                      2.8         1.5         0.8
Industry
                                      0.9         0.7         0.1
Main consumer sector
                                      0.1         0.3           -
Public services                         -           -      0.0003
Public health                           -           -           -
Information technologies                -           -           -
-----------------------------------------------------------------
*Industrial Classification turnover structure prepared in accordance with
rubricator Global lndustry Classification Standard (GICS) Standart and Poor's

Tab. 3. KASE index dynamics in various periods at the moment of trade close as of Nov 30, 2011 (basis actual/365)

---------------------------------------
                                Change:
                            -----------
Period                       in % % APR
--------------------------- ----- -----
For preceding 30 days        -7.1 -86.1
Since the beginning of 2011 -36.1 -39.5
For last 365 days (year)    -31.4 -31.4
In 2010                      -2.8  -2.8
From the beginning of 2010  -37.9 -19.8
---------------------------------------

Tab 4.Main indicators of exchange purchase and sale share market in November 2011

----------------------------------------------------------------
                  Market            Volume of Volume of
         capitalization,               deals,    deals,   Number
Date              m. USD KASE index   th. USD    m. KZT of deals
-------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- --------
31.10.11        46,053.7   1,181.11     217.0      32.1       21
01.11.11        44,405.3   1,146.28     321.7      47.6       25
02.11.11        44,527.5   1,145.00     467.3      69.2       50
03.11.11        45,068.6   1,154.08     382.2      56.5       32
04.11.11        45,603.2   1,158.41     411.4      60.9       31
07.11.11        45,591.1   1,162.73     484.7      71.7       22
08.11.11        45,078.2   1,153.46     611.7      90.5       55
09.11.11        45,658.9   1,164.32     262.7      38.9       22
10.11.11        44,196.2   1,127.79     975.7     144.5       34
11.11.11        44,440.5   1,146.59     802.3     118.8       40
14.11.11        45,678.1   1,165.43     423.1      62.7       47
15.11.11        45,488.1   1,144.95     346.8      51.4       37
16.11.11        45,261.8   1,149.69     422.6      62.6       35
17.11.11        45,189.1   1,147.18   3,442.8     509.6       44
18.11.11        44,893.8   1,136.13     270.9      40.1       26
21.11.11        43,103.6   1,102.44     289.9      42.9       29
22.11.11        42,950.0   1,100.49     166.6      24.6       20
23.11.11        42,592.4   1,083.48     197.7      29.1       25
24.11.11        42,861.2   1,086.35     461.4      67.9       29
25.11.11        42,644.4   1,080.47     374.6      55.1       41
28.11.11        42,865.3   1,092.18     312.9      46.1       18
29.11.11        43,056.1   1,097.67     450.2      66.5       32
30.11.11        43,061.4   1,097.56     474.7      70.1       27
-------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- --------
Trend           -2,992.3      -83.6
%                   -6.5       -7.1
----------------------------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Changes in shares traded on KASE in November 2011

-------------------------------------------
                        Shares:    Issuers:
Admission           ----- ----- ----- -----
category            Numb. trend Numb. trend
------------------- ----- ----- ----- -----
First                  15     0     9     0
Second                 18     0    12     0
Third                  58    +1    47    +1
Investment funds`       2     0     2     0
securities
Unlisted securities     4    +1     4    +1
------------------- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total                  97    +2    70     0
-------------------------------------------

Tab. 6. Results of trades in shares on KASE in Nov 2011 (according to data on deals, concluded on the secondary market by open trade method)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                   KZT per share:
        --------- --------- ----------------- -------------------    
                                   Last deal:  For last 365 days:   Amount Number
Share                                         --------- --------- Of deals,   Of
code         min.      max.     Price Chan.,%      Min.      max.   Th. USD  deals
------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------- --------- --------- ------
BSUL       630.00    630.00    630.00       0    629.99    658.05      96.2     14
BTAS         0.50      1.10      0.90   -30.8      0.50      7.45       5.7     24
CCBN       280.00    315.00    289.99    -7.9    250.00    670.00     344.8     34
EXBNp    1,110.00  1,110.00  1,110.00          1,100.00  1,300.00       0.1      1
GB_ENRC  1,439.15  1,625.00  1,465.90   -11.1  1,275.00  2,600.00     221.2     20
GB_KZMS  1,950.00  2,332.00  2,080.00    -8.0  1,780.00  3,800.00     409.4     75
HSBK       207.02    222.00    210.00    -3.2    197.00    445.00     445.0     80
HSBKp      153.64    153.64    153.64    -8.8    153.64    185.24      30.7      1
HSBKp1     156.38    156.38    156.38    -8.5    156.38    171.00      30.7      1
KASE     5,360.00  5,500.00  5,500.00    +7.8  3,800.01  5,500.00      44.0      2
KATR     3,300.00  3,300.00  3,300.00       0  3,100.00  3,300.00      13.6      2
KKGB       221.05    251.00    221.05   -10.9    185.00    616.00     270.1     57
KZTK    17,450.00 17,800.00 17,500.00    -1.1 16,500.00 20,850.00     658.2     23
KZTKp   11,350.00 12,500.00 12,500.00    +8.7  7,490.00 13,000.00   1,264.1     50
MMGZp    5,500.00  5,500.00  5,500.00       0  5,100.00 10,450.00       2.6      1
MREK     1,350.00  1,350.00  1,350.00    +3.9  1,100.00  3,000.00       9.1      1
RDGZ    13,600.00 15,500.00 13,890.00    -8.0 12,100.00 21,000.00   1,476.0    111
RDGZp   12,001.00 14,000.00 13,200.00    -5.4 12,000.00 20,510.00   2,990.7    173
SATC        71.02     71.04     71.02       0     71.00     72.00     300.1     16
UTMK    20,316.26 20,316.26 20,316.26         20,316.26 20,316.26      69.5      1
VSTN    128000.00 128000.00 128000.00   +10.9 115455.00 128000.00     608.5      2
ZERD         1.20      1.21      1.20    +9.1      1.10      2.49       0.8      2
ZERDp        5.20      5.40      5.40       0      4.60      5.72     341.9     25
------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------- --------- --------- ------
23                                                                  9,633.0    716
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Notes: The table provides data on the shares. in which the deals were concluded by one of the open trade methods. Trends (change in %) are provided in relation to the last deal of the preceding month (Oct 1 - 30, 2011). Trend is not computed. if there were no deals in the preceding month.

Tab. 7 Top 10 most liquid shares of KASE in November 2011

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                   Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl):
                                   ------------------------------------------
       Position
---------------         Liquidity      Amount               Number      Number
   Nov.     Oct Share        index    Of deals,    number   of KASE   of result.
2011 г. 2011 г. code          (Kl)     mln KZT   of deals   members       days
------- ------- ------- ---------- ----------- ---------- -------- ----------
      1       1 RDGZp         3.00       442.1        173       19         22
      2       3 RDGZ          2.22       218.3        111       18         17
      3       2 HSBK         1.834        65.9         80       16         20
      4       4 GB_KZMS      1.829        60.6         75       17         19
      5       6 KZTKp        1.413       187.0         50       10         17
      6       5 KKGB         1.407        40.0         57       14         13
      7       9 CCBN          1.34        51.0         34       15         13
      8       8 GB_ENRC       1.16        32.7         20       14         12
      9      12 ZERDp         0.98        50.6         25       10         11
     10      10 BTAS          0.97         0.8         24       11         11
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes: For calculation of Kl only data on deals concluded in KASE secondary market
sector by one of the open trade
methods are accounted. The methodology of calculation of this indicator is
available in the corresponding section of
the document, released at  толығырақ in Russian and at
 толығырақ in English.

Tab. 8. Top-10 most capitalized companies listed on KASE, whose shares are listed on securities exchanges (at the close of trading on the dates indicated)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          As of Nov 30:         As of Oct 31:           Change:
                  --------------------- --------------------- -----------------
Short              Po-   Capita- Compa-  Po-   Capita- Compa-   Capita- Quotas,
Company            si- lization,  Ny's-  si- lization,  Ny's- lization,   Perc.
Name              Tion  mln. USD Quota% Tion  mln. USD Quota%  mln. USD  point.
----------------- ---- --------- ------ ---- --------- ------ --------- -------
ENRC PLC             1  12,781.6  29.68    1  14,370.3  31.20  -1,588.7   -1.52
KAZAKHMYS PLС        2   7,555.4  17.55    2   8,188.8  17.78    -633.4   -0.24
EP KMG               3   6,793.1  15.78    3   7,143.7  15.51    -350.6   +0.26
Mangistaumunaigaz    4   2,664.8   6.19    4   2,663.3   5.78      +1.4   +0.41
Halyk bank           5   1,958.8   4.55    5   2,079.0   4.51    -120.1   +0.03
Nurbank              6   1,867.6   4.34    6   1,866.6   4.05      +1.0   +0.28
Kazkommertzbank      7   1,469.0   3.41    7   1,468.2   3.19      +0.8   +0.22
ATFbank              8   1,321.6   3.07    9   1,333.6   2.90     -12.0   +0.17
Kazakhtelecom        9   1,297.2   3.01    8   1,449.4   3.15    -152.2   -0.13
Shubarkol Komir     10     714.6   1.66   10     714.2   1.55      +0.4   +0.11
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Notes: The company stock % - an indicator, received by cutting off market capitalization of the company to total capitalization of exchange market share of official list of securities of KASE and expressed in percent. As of the market close, Nov 30, 2011 this indicator made USD 43,061.4 mln. 91 shares of 66 issuers were listed on the official list of KASE

[2011-12-22]