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20.01.2012 16:32 #

REVIEW: KASE market of shares in December 2011

/IRBIS, December 22, 2011/ - In December 2011, on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on shares in all sectors 949 transactions were recorded totaling 18,089.7 million tenge or 122.1 million U.S. dollars at current exchange rates at the dates of transactions. The said amount is 44.7% of the monthly volume of transactions in the market of corporate securities of KASE (in November 2011 - 7.5%) and 1.0% of the total exchange monthly turnover (0.1%).

The sharp rise in trading volumes on the secondary market sales was driven by higher volumes of transactions with ordinary and preferred shares of JSC "SAT & Company", which accounted for 38.9% and 38.2% of the total volume of transactions concluded in December, respectively. Recall, December 23, 2011 JSC "SAT & Company" reported that the Board of Directors decided to place 230,334,000 preferred shares KZ1P54620110 (KZ1P00000566, SATCp) at a price of 30.00 tenge per share. In addition, earlier November 18, 2011 it was announced that the Board of Directors of JSC "SAT & Company" decided to place 75 million ordinary shares KZ1C54620014 (KZ1C00000553, SATC) at a price of 71.00 tenge per share on the informal market.

As a result of December 2011 at the KASE average daily prices of shares of 52% of titles have increased (in November - 29%), decreased - 43% of titles (54%), prices of 4% have not changed (17%). Maximum trends for the month showed the following tools: KZTKp grew by 43.9%, BTAS fell by 48.8%. In November 2011 the maximum trends were shown by AMGZp (+60.0%) and UTMK (-29.9%).

Below are tables describing the stock market of KASE in December, 2011.

Table 1. Statistical characteristics of KASE share market in December 2011

---------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                          Trend as of
                                                 --------------------
Indicator                               Dec 2011   Nov 2011  Dec 2010
-------------------------------------- --------- ---------- ---------
Trade volume, th. USD                  122,143.7  9.9 times 3.2 times
Trade volume, m. KZT                    18,089.7  9.9 times 3.2 times
Deals                                        949     +31.6%    -27.1%
Instruments in deals                          24          0     -7.7%
Daily average of deals                        47     +44.8%    -23.4%
Daily average volume of deals, th. USD   6,107.2 10.9 times 3.3 times
Daily average volume of deals, m. KZT      904.5 10.9 times 3.3 times
Stock of direct deals (number), %            0.5    -0.2 pp   -0.3 pp
Stock of direct deals (volume), %            0.1   -21.9 pp   -2.5 pp
Pension assets, % gross                     44.0   +43.3 pp  +43.5 pp
Individuals, % gross                        39.1    +5.3 pp  -12.0 pp
Non-residents, % gross                       1.0   -31.1 pp  -16.6 pp
KASE members, concluded deals                 36     +12.5%     -5.3%
Market concentration, %                     38.8   +14.6 pp  +10.9 pp
---------------------------------------------------------------------
* indicates the percentage of the total turDecer of shares, which accounts for
 most traded securities (their number is 5% of the total number of titles of
 shares involved in the transaction).

Tab. 2. Industrial characteristics of KASE share market *

-----------------------------------------------------------------
                             Stake of total volume of market (%):
                             ------------ ----------- -----------
Industry                         Dec 2011    Nov 2011    Dec 2010
---------------------------- ------------ ----------- -----------
Power energy                         92.5        60.3         3.9
Discretional consumer sector          3.5        14.8        26.2
Finance
                                      1.9        15.6        17.2
Raw material sector
                                      1.2         0.9         1.6
Telecommunications services
                                      0.7         2.8        28.6
Industry                              0.2         5.7        21.4
Main consumer sector                    -           -         0.8
Public services                         -           -         0.2
Public health                           -           -           -
Information technologies
                                        -         0.1        0.02
-----------------------------------------------------------------
*Industrial Classification turDecer structure prepared in accordance with
rubricator Global lndustry Classification Standard (GICS) Standart and Poor's

Tab. 3. KASE index dynamics in various periods at the moment of trade close as of Dec 31, 2011 (basis actual/365)

---------------------------------------
                                Change:
                            ----- -----
Period                       in % % APR
--------------------------- ----- -----
For preceding 30 days        +0.7  +8.9
Since the beginning of 2011 -35.7 -35.7
For last 365 days (year)     -2.8  -2.8
In 2010                     -37.5 -18.8
From the beginning of 2010   +0.7  +8.9
---------------------------------------

Tab 4.Main indicators of exchange purchase and sale share market in December 2011

----------------------------------------------------------------
                  Market            Volume of Volume of
         capitalization,               deals,    deals,   Number
Date              m. USD KASE index   th. USD    m. KZT of deals
-------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- --------
30.11.11        43,061.4   1,097.56     474.7      70.1       27
01.12.11        43,200.5   1,109.52     670.5      99.0       25
02.12.11        44,604.6   1,134.63     913.8     134.9       35
05.12.11        44,593.5   1,130.40     357.1      52.7       32
06.12.11        45,290.0   1,148.36     552.2      81.5       45
07.12.11        45,150.8   1,143.67     308.0      45.5       22
08.12.11        45,191.3   1,143.67     803.9     118.7       28
09.12.11        44,246.9   1,116.36     496.2      73.3       33
12.12.11        44,782.7   1,118.30     296.6      43.9       20
13.12.11        43,295.2   1,094.20     325.3      48.1       34
14.12.11        43,222.7   1,084.38     247.6      36.6       30
15.12.11        42,763.9   1,080.72     873.2     129.3       52
20.12.11        42,423.7   1,062.06  15,450.5   2,290.8      215
21.12.11        42,956.0   1,064.16     433.9      64.1       24
22.12.11        43,209.4   1,075.83     589.2      87.2       40
23.12.11        43,191.3   1,079.03  20,512.9   3,038.2       21
26.12.11        43,088.1   1,087.50  73,420.3  10,872.1       39
27.12.11        43,085.3   1,087.11   3,225.6     478.2       69
28.12.11        43,364.9   1,111.27     781.2     115.8       56
29.12.11        43,400.6   1,083.45     565.4      83.7       56
30.12.11        43,301.5   1,105.58   1,320.2     195.9       73
-------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- --------
Trend              240.0        8.0
%                   +0.6       +0.7
----------------------------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Changes in shares traded on KASE in December 2011

-------------------------------------------
                        Shares:    Issuers:
Admission           ----- ----- ----- -----
category            Numb. trend Numb. trend
------------------- ----- ----- ----- -----
First                  15     0     9     0
Second                 18     0    12     0
Third                  59    +1    48    +1
Investment funds`       2     0     2     0
securities
Unlisted securities     4     0     4     0
------------------- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total                  92    -5    67    -3
-------------------------------------------

Tab. 6. Results of trades in shares on KASE in Dec 2011 (according to data on deals, concluded on the secondary market by open trade method)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                               KZT per share:
        -------- -------- ---------------- ------------------    
                                Last deal: For last 365 days:    Amount Number
Share   -------------------------------------------- -------- Of deals,     Of
code        min.     max.    Price Chan.,%      Min.     max.   Th. USD  deals
------- -------- -------- -------- ------- --------- -------- --------- ------
BSUL      629.99   640.00   640.00    +1.6    629.99   658.05   1,209.6     28
BTAS        0.20     1.00     0.30   -66.7      0.20     6.39      20.1     32
CCBN      233.00   285.00   240.00   -17.2    233.00   670.00     243.8     23
EXBNp     505.00   505.00   505.00            505.00   505.00     136.4      2
GB_ENRC   900.00  1090.00   900.00            900.00  1090.00       3.0      2
GB_KZMS  1461.00  1605.00  1500.00    +2.3   1275.00  2600.00      96.1     18
HSBK     2060.00  2198.89  2150.00    +3.4   1780.00  3800.00     132.8     43
HSBKp     191.00   223.00   212.00    +1.0    191.00   445.00     715.9     78
HSBKp1   5000.00  5500.00  5500.00       0   4500.00  5500.00     716.1      5
KASE     3100.00  3450.00  3450.00    +4.5   3100.00  3450.00      15.3      4
KATR      185.00   239.99   219.35    -0.8    185.00   616.00     464.2     51
KKGB      142.00   142.00   142.00            142.00   230.00      19.5      2
KZTK    17100.00 22000.01 20116.00   +14.9  16800.00 23000.00   1,931.0    100
KZTKp   12500.02 19000.00 18000.00   +44.0   7490.00 19000.00   2,205.5     84
MMGZp    5565.00  6011.00  6011.00    +9.3   5100.00 10450.00      15.9      3
MREK     1000.00  1300.00  1300.00           1000.00  1300.00      15.8      3
RDGZ    12600.00 14950.00 13500.00    -2.8  12100.00 21000.00     801.9     73
RDGZp   11500.00 14400.00 12200.00    -7.6  11000.00 20510.00  17,203.6    322
SATC       70.60    71.01    70.60    -0.6     69.99    72.00  47,449.0     36
UTMK       31.23    31.23    31.23             31.23    31.23  46,656.8      4
VSTN    150000.0 150000.0 150000.0   +17.2  115455.0 150000.0   1,212.1      1
ZERD        1.21     1.21     1.21    +0.8      1.10     2.49       3.4      1
ZERDp       5.20     5.40     5.38    -0.4      5.00     5.56     732.9     29
------- -------- -------- -------- ------- --------- -------- --------- ------
23                                                            122,000.6    944
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes: The table provides data on the shares. in which the deals were concluded by
one of the open trade methods.
Trends (change in %) are provided in relation to the last deal of the preceding
month (Nov 1 - 30, 2011). Trend
is not computed. if there were no deals in the preceding month.

Tab. 7 Top 10 most liquid shares of KASE in December 2011

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                   Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl):
                                    ----------- ---------- -------- ----------
    Position in          Liquidity-     Amount               number   number
   Dec.     Nov Share    index-       Of deals,     number  of KASE  of result.
   2011    2011  code          (Kl)     mln KZT   of deals   members  days
------- ------- ------- ---------- ----------- ---------- -------- ----------
      1       1 RDGZp         2.68     2,549.7        322       23         20
      2      13 SATC          1.54     7,026.5         36       15         11
      3      11 KZTK          1.48       286.1        100       19         13
      4       2 RDGZ          1.39       118.7         73       18         15
      5       3 HSBK          1.36       106.0         78       17         15
      6       6 KKGB          1.31        68.7         51       19         13
      7       4 GB_KZMS       1.27        19.6         43       17         16
      8       5 KZTKp         1.22       326.7         84       14         13
      9      10 BTAS          1.18         3.0         32       18         12
     10       8 GB_ENRC       0.92        14.2         18       14         10
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes: For calculation of Kl only data on deals concluded in KASE secondary market
sector by one of the open trade
methods are accounted. The methodology of calculation of this indicator is
available in the corresponding section of
the document, released at  толығырақ in Russian and at
 толығырақ in English.

Tab. 8. Top-10 most capitalized companies listed on KASE, whose shares are listed on securities exchanges (at the close of trading on the dates indicated)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          As of Dec 31:         As of Nov 30:           Change:
                  ---- --------- ------ ---- --------- ------ --------- -------
Short              Po-   Capita- Compa-  Po-   Capita- Compa-   Capita- Quotas,
Company            si- lization,  Ny's-  si- lization,  ny's- lization,   Perc.
Name              Tion  mln. USD Quota% Tion  mln. USD Quota%  mln. USD  point.
----------------- ---- --------- ------ ---- --------- ------ --------- -------
ENRC PLC             1  13,016.3  30.06    1  12,781.6  29.68    +234.8   +0.38
KAZAKHMYS PLС        2   7,733.7  17.86    2   7,555.4  17.55    +178.3   +0.31
EP KMG               3   6,610.6  15.27    3   6,793.1  15.78    -182.5   -0.51
Mangistaumunaigaz    4   2,655.8   6.13    4   2,664.8   6.19      -9.0   -0.06
Halyk bank           5   1,925.1   4.45    5   1,958.8   4.55     -33.8   -0.10
Nurbank              6   1,858.7   4.29    6   1,867.6   4.34      -8.9   -0.04
Kazkommertzbank      7   1,506.2   3.48    8   1,321.6   3.07    +184.6   +0.41
ATFbank              8   1,461.9   3.38    7   1,469.0   3.41      -7.0   -0.04
Kazakhtelecom        9   1,252.5   2.89    9   1,297.2   3.01     -44.6   -0.12
Shubarkol Komir     10     711.1   1.64   10     714.6   1.66      -3.4   -0.02
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Notes: The company stock % - an indicator, received by cutting off market capitalization of the company to total capitalization of exchange market share of official list of securities of KASE and expressed in percent. As of the market close, Dec 31, 2011 this indicator made USD 43,301.5 mln. 92 shares of 67 issuers were listed on the official list of KASE

[2012-01-20]